Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.796323 1.872432 1.950646 2.037199 2.130498 2.228261 2.338731
2025-12-14 1.617759 1.720864 1.830600 1.956680 2.098286 2.253315 2.437116
2025-12-21 1.519388 1.643913 1.780447 1.942542 2.131459 2.346899 2.614467
2025-12-28 1.455792 1.598751 1.759691 1.956546 2.194061 2.475805 2.842391
2026-01-04 1.376093 1.528564 1.703757 1.923156 2.195393 2.529090 2.981016
2026-01-11 1.327355 1.490527 1.681731 1.926766 2.239448 2.635821 3.195871
2026-01-18 1.292132 1.465695 1.672848 1.944227 2.300103 2.766635 3.455315
2026-01-25 1.246274 1.424934 1.641298 1.929801 2.316681 2.838339 3.638105
2026-02-01 1.198110 1.378688 1.599981 1.899390 2.308476 2.873493 3.768978
2026-02-08 1.141061 1.318803 1.538395 1.838515 2.253978 2.837688 3.785380
2026-02-15 1.102373 1.280481 1.502584 1.809700 2.241407 2.860352 3.894997
2026-02-22 1.071035 1.250207 1.475701 1.791146 2.241447 2.900551 4.036424
2026-03-01 1.035450 1.215080 1.443408 1.766893 2.236599 2.940270 4.196227
2026-03-08 0.995079 1.172564 1.399938 1.725334 2.204327 2.935657 4.279834
2026-03-15 0.973708 1.154142 1.387879 1.727249 2.236842 3.037014 4.574697
2026-03-22 0.960194 1.145476 1.388457 1.746979 2.297591 3.190706 5.001273
2026-03-29 0.932738 1.117197 1.360963 1.724328 2.290491 3.228531 5.200137
2026-04-05 0.916799 1.103785 1.353349 1.730329 2.328985 3.349522 5.604615
2026-04-12 0.905278 1.095854 1.352892 1.746715 2.385167 3.508493 6.138335
2026-04-19 0.885799 1.076330 1.335195 1.735800 2.394881 3.581470 6.483229
2026-04-26 0.863142 1.051734 1.309361 1.711040 2.379272 3.603694 6.702619
2026-05-03 0.833693 1.016990 1.267929 1.660358 2.316149 3.526454 6.633763
2026-05-10 0.813658 0.994876 1.244105 1.636334 2.298055 3.538169 6.822130